Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000694 0.000788 0.000888 0.001001 0.001126 0.001258 0.001409
2025-09-21 0.000539 0.000668 0.000815 0.000991 0.001197 0.001428 0.001706
2025-09-28 0.000449 0.000591 0.000760 0.000972 0.001229 0.001528 0.001899
2025-10-05 0.000401 0.000557 0.000748 0.000997 0.001308 0.001680 0.002154
2025-10-12 0.000361 0.000525 0.000734 0.001015 0.001374 0.001815 0.002389
2025-10-19 0.000318 0.000485 0.000704 0.001006 0.001404 0.001902 0.002565
2025-10-26 0.000281 0.000448 0.000674 0.000994 0.001427 0.001979 0.002727
2025-11-02 0.000257 0.000426 0.000662 0.001004 0.001476 0.002090 0.002933
2025-11-09 0.000232 0.000401 0.000643 0.001003 0.001509 0.002179 0.003112
2025-11-16 0.000203 0.000366 0.000607 0.000974 0.001502 0.002211 0.003216
2025-11-23 0.000178 0.000335 0.000575 0.000948 0.001496 0.002245 0.003320
2025-11-30 0.000162 0.000316 0.000559 0.000945 0.001521 0.002320 0.003481
2025-12-07 0.000147 0.000299 0.000545 0.000944 0.001549 0.002401 0.003655
2025-12-14 0.000132 0.000280 0.000525 0.000933 0.001562 0.002461 0.003800
2025-12-21 0.000117 0.000259 0.000502 0.000915 0.001564 0.002504 0.003921
2025-12-28 0.000111 0.000255 0.000505 0.000938 0.001628 0.002638 0.004174
2026-01-04 0.000105 0.000249 0.000505 0.000955 0.001683 0.002759 0.004410
2026-01-11 0.000095 0.000234 0.000489 0.000947 0.001697 0.002820 0.004561
2026-01-18 0.000086 0.000220 0.000473 0.000936 0.001706 0.002874 0.004701
2026-01-25 0.000080 0.000213 0.000469 0.000946 0.001748 0.002977 0.004915
2026-02-01 0.000073 0.000204 0.000460 0.000945 0.001773 0.003055 0.005093
2026-02-08 0.000064 0.000187 0.000436 0.000917 0.001753 0.003062 0.005164
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000172 0.000414 0.000892 0.001736 0.003073 0.005242